Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 5.927458 6.768801 7.699020 8.805797 10.089382 11.534233 13.288176
2025-03-09 4.684871 5.743661 7.008497 8.638041 10.692188 13.209148 16.547546
2025-03-16 3.909376 5.044605 6.479015 8.438209 11.065733 14.497507 19.367739
2025-03-23 3.566225 4.802316 6.439280 8.788366 12.109874 16.693557 23.593799
2025-03-30 3.225480 4.502339 6.261822 8.895386 12.792382 18.433221 27.375300
2025-04-06 2.907123 4.186577 6.011760 8.846632 13.213636 19.809494 30.762750
2025-04-13 2.631717 3.897060 5.758991 8.749039 13.526260 21.027612 34.029131
2025-04-20 2.487972 3.784548 5.750555 9.011908 14.412071 23.222505 39.155620
2025-04-27 2.346599 3.658734 5.704119 9.200774 15.186541 25.309370 44.365556
2025-05-04 2.252759 3.596822 5.748591 9.535981 16.233280 27.965203 50.943471
2025-05-11 2.059191 3.354022 5.474064 9.298884 16.251679 28.803436 54.240918
2025-05-18 1.908407 3.168672 5.277303 9.173607 16.449156 29.975962 58.325423
2025-05-25 1.774882 3.003647 5.104344 9.079824 16.705972 31.311718 62.982741
2025-06-01 1.647819 2.839172 4.917807 8.941746 16.861712 32.467583 67.436121
2025-06-08 1.524057 2.670153 4.708114 8.737857 16.862885 33.307935 71.321996
2025-06-15 1.491356 2.662735 4.790964 9.102096 18.037708 36.689577 81.385400
2025-06-22 1.427258 2.591699 4.748479 9.213356 18.701112 39.067163 89.501166
2025-06-29 1.348450 2.486572 4.632013 9.162693 19.013532 40.712565 96.113994
2025-07-06 1.270371 2.376834 4.497541 9.061275 19.202768 42.100455 102.302528
2025-07-13 1.239866 2.357405 4.539268 9.334459 20.253715 45.601537 114.493119
2025-07-20 1.202806 2.321956 4.545460 9.530754 21.150169 48.849757 126.575966
2025-07-27 1.182749 2.319142 4.617852 9.879184 22.441422 53.228987 142.558786
2025-08-03 1.107790 2.198086 4.433946 9.632729 22.277394 53.934340 148.195523